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Weighted scoringRules: Emphasizing Particular Outcomes When Evaluating Probabilistic Forecasts

When predicting future events, it is common to issue forecasts that are probabilistic, in the form of probability distributions over the range of possible outcomes. Such forecasts can be evaluated using proper scoring rules. Proper scoring rules condense forecast performance into a single numerical...

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Autor principal: Sam Allen
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicado em: Foundation for Open Access Statistics 2024-09-01
Colecção:Journal of Statistical Software
Acesso em linha:https://www.jstatsoft.org/index.php/jss/article/view/5028
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