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Global financial cycles and exchange rate forecast: A factor analysis

This study applies portfolio balance theory in forecasting exchange rate. The study further argues for the need to account for the role of Global Financial Cycle (GFCy). As such, the first stage of the analysis is estimate a GFCy model and obtain the idiosyncratic shock. Next, we use the results in...

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Bibliografski detalji
Glavni autor: Ibrahim D. Raheem
Format: Artigo
Jezik:Inglês
Izdano: Elsevier 2020-12-01
Serija:Borsa Istanbul Review
Teme:
Online pristup:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214845020300351
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