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Tropical Atlantic rainfall drives bias in extratropical seasonal forecasts

Abstract We investigate the impact of seasonal forecast biases in the Tropical Atlantic on the North Atlantic. The analysis uses a novel ensemble‐based method to estimate the impact of tropical rainfall bias on forecasts of the Extratropical North Atlantic. The inter‐ensemble spread of the forecast...

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Principais autores: T. Collier, J. Kettleborough, A. A. Scaife, L. Hermanson, P. Davis
Format: Artigo
Sprog:Inglês
Udgivet: Wiley 2024-04-01
Serier:Atmospheric Science Letters
Fag:
Boreal winter
North Atlantic oscillation
planetary waves
predictability
Rossby waves
seasonal timescale
Online adgang:https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.1205
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