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The Predictability of the Downward Versus Non‐Downward Propagation of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings in S2S Hindcasts

Abstract Roughly one‐third of sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) events lack a strong canonical surface response, and this can lead to a forecast bust if a strong response was predicted. Hence, it is desirable to predict before SSW onset if an event will propagate downward. The predictability of the...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: David M. Nebel, Chaim I. Garfinkel, Judah Cohen, Daniela I. V. Domeisen, Jian Rao, Chen Schwartz
Format: Artigo
Language:Inglês
Published: Wiley 2024-08-01
Series:Geophysical Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL110529
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