Demonstrating the value of larger ensembles in forecasting physical systems

Ensemble simulation propagates a collection of initial states forward in time in a Monte Carlo fashion. Depending on the fidelity of the model and the properties of the initial ensemble, the goal of ensemble simulation can range from merely quantifying variations in the sensitivity of the model all...

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Үндсэн зохиолчид:	Reason L. Machete, Leonard A. Smith
Формат:	Artigo
Хэл сонгох:	Inglês
Хэвлэсэн:	Stockholm University Press 2016-12-01
Цуврал:	Tellus: Series A, Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography
Нөхцлүүд:	chaotic systems data assimilation ensemble forecasting forecast value predictability probabilistic forecasting scoring rule probability
Онлайн хандалт:	http://www.tellusa.net/index.php/tellusa/article/view/28393/50585
Шошгууд:	Шошго нэмэх Шошго байхгүй, Энэхүү баримтыг шошголох эхний хүн болох!