Boosting intelligence analysts’ judgment accuracy: What works, what fails?
A routine part of intelligence analysis is judging the probability of alternative hypotheses given available evidence. Intelligence organizations advise analysts to use intelligence-tradecraft methods such as Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH) to improve judgment, but such methods have not been...
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| Hauptverfasser: | , , |
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| Format: | Artigo |
| Sprache: | Inglês |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Cambridge University Press
2018-11-01
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| Schriftenreihe: | Judgment and Decision Making |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | http://journal.sjdm.org/18/18803/jdm18803.pdf |
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