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Super-spreading events initiated the exponential growth phase of COVID-19 with ℛ0 higher than initially estimated

The basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] of the coronavirus disease 2019 has been estimated to range between 2 and 4. Here, we used an SEIR model that properly accounts for the distribution of the latent period and, based on empirical estimates of the doubling time in the near-exponential p...

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Autori principali: Marek Kochańczyk, Frederic Grabowski, Tomasz Lipniacki
Natura: Artigo
Lingua:Inglês
Pubblicazione: The Royal Society 2020-09-01
Serie:Royal Society Open Science
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Accesso online:https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.200786
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