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Maximal Sensitive Dependence and the Optimal Path to Epidemic Extinction

Extinction of an epidemic or a species is a rare event that occurs due to a large, rare stochastic fluctuation. Although the extinction process is dynamically unstable, it follows an optimal path that maximizes the probability of extinction. We show that the optimal path is also directly related to...

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Hlavní autoři: Forgoston, Eric, Bianco, Simone, Shaw, Leah B., Schwartz, Ira B.
Médium: Artigo
Jazyk:Inglês
Vydáno: 2010
Témata:
On-line přístup:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3056896/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20352495
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11538-010-9537-0
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