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Hindsight ≠ foresight: the effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty(*)



 One major difference between historical and nonhistorical judgment is that the historical judge typically knows how things turned out. In Experiment 1, receipt of such outcome knowledge was found to increase the postdicted likelihood of reported events and change the perceived relevance of event...

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Hlavní autor: Fischhoff, B
Médium: Artigo
Jazyk:Inglês
Vydáno: BMJ Group 2003
Témata:
On-line přístup:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1743746/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/12897366
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1136/qhc.12.4.304
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